Monteq

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Kelly, Monte Carlo, parlays and ruin — one brutally honest dashboard. No accounts, no tracking. Accessible anywhere, and your numbers still never leave the browser.

01 — Kelly
Optimal size, sane size

f* = (bp−q)/b. Half keeps ~75% growth with ~½ variance.

Open Kelly →
02 — Monte Carlo
5,000 futures

P5 / median / P95. If P5 nears zero, you bet too big.

Run simulation →
03 — Lab & Parlay
Fractions & accumulators

0.25×→1.5× sweep. Parlays: product math, variance explodes.

Compare →
04 — Risk
Streaks & ruin

qⁿ, drawdown, gambler's ruin. Small edges drown in streaks.

Check risk →
Odds: 2.50 or +150 / −110 or 5/2 · Prob: 55% or 0.55 · Shortcuts: 1–5
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